SCIAGSnowball The spread of MERS was ONLY in hospitals and required PROLONGED contact with an infected person, so drop that off your argument.
We didn’t see anything REMOTELY like this governmental reaction when SARS reared its head.
I don’t claim to be a virologist or an academic researcher but I CAN read and I’m only quoting official sources.
My analysis is just my analysis, something any reasonably-educated person could do.
It is FARCICAL to think the Chinese lock-down idea is the answer. If it was that easy, we could just shut everything down for three months, let the virus die, and all live happily-ever-after.
Your analysis gets basic epidemiology wrong and indeed calls it farcical.
If you stop transmission then unless the pathogen has a natural reservoir or can lie dormant, then the disease stops.
This is not farcical, it is a basic fact.
The reason total lockdown wouldn’t actually work perfectly is not biological, it’s economic, behavioural, and political. Total quarantine except for food delivery services would be unacceptable and would have knock-on effects.
In fairness you seem to be getting a better grip on the numbers, but you are completely failing to relate them to the real world.
I did one epidemiology module at university. I wouldn’t claim to be an expert but I can tell when someone is bullshitting.
I am not BULLSHITTING. I am reading very widely from 99% official sources,
some URLs posted here. The only unofficial source I have used is the medical teacher
The Government's Chief Scientific Advisor stated yesterday, to a Parliamentary Committee,
broadcast on TV that we will see a reinfection spike after lockdown finishes
South Korea yesterday after their much-lauded Draconian Test Regime etc
just announced new pockets and 97 NEW confirmed cases in a single day
Even under Lockdown in UK there are 5 MILLION essential workers presumably
going out, mingling, bringing stuff home. The virus is in the animal kingdom and
can migrate freshly