by windermereROYAL » 30 Mar 2020 10:03
by Snowball » 30 Mar 2020 10:42
windermereROYAL It`s all pretty easy for people to follow restrictions now, just a week in, weather nice but not so warm, but it`s obvious some will get bored with it, and what happens when the warm weather arrives?
It was being muted yesterday this could last for up to 6 months, that takes us back into the winter again, it`s difficult to see the whole population sitting on their hands during a summer heatwave.
by windermereROYAL » 30 Mar 2020 10:49
SnowballwindermereROYAL It`s all pretty easy for people to follow restrictions now, just a week in, weather nice but not so warm, but it`s obvious some will get bored with it, and what happens when the warm weather arrives?
It was being muted yesterday this could last for up to 6 months, that takes us back into the winter again, it`s difficult to see the whole population sitting on their hands during a summer heatwave.
Agreed. I was virtually locked down from 6th, officially from 11:00 on the 8th, then, as soon as the 14 days was done we were on the official nationwide lock-down. Prior to that (and being unwell) I would walk up to ten miles a day, or run three and do some gym-work. My flat is the size of a size-six shoebox, no room to exercise properly, and it's really starting to feel oppressive.
I've been eating LOADS more, presumably through boredom, and I was pouring wine down my throat on any pretext. I've been gaining half a pound a day and yesterday I emptied the last two bottles of red down the sink. If this is what it's like after 3+ weeks, I cannot imagine 3 months, let alone six.
I can imagine suicides rising, various sorts of mental illnesses increasing, more domestic violence. And without sunshine will we all get rickets?
Mind you, I'm reading like never before, over a book a day
by Snowball » 30 Mar 2020 11:12
windermereROYALSnowballwindermereROYAL It`s all pretty easy for people to follow restrictions now, just a week in, weather nice but not so warm, but it`s obvious some will get bored with it, and what happens when the warm weather arrives?
It was being muted yesterday this could last for up to 6 months, that takes us back into the winter again, it`s difficult to see the whole population sitting on their hands during a summer heatwave.
Agreed. I was virtually locked down from 6th, officially from 11:00 on the 8th, then, as soon as the 14 days was done we were on the official nationwide lock-down. Prior to that (and being unwell) I would walk up to ten miles a day, or run three and do some gym-work. My flat is the size of a size-six shoebox, no room to exercise properly, and it's really starting to feel oppressive.
I've been eating LOADS more, presumably through boredom, and I was pouring wine down my throat on any pretext. I've been gaining half a pound a day and yesterday I emptied the last two bottles of red down the sink. If this is what it's like after 3+ weeks, I cannot imagine 3 months, let alone six.
I can imagine suicides rising, various sorts of mental illnesses increasing, more domestic violence. And without sunshine will we all get rickets?
Mind you, I'm reading like never before, over a book a day
I`m the same, can`t stop eating. I too live in a flat, luckily I have an exersise bike, do a couple of of good workouts every day. but for the life of me i can't imagine sitting in here day after day with 30c temperatures outside
by Lower West » 30 Mar 2020 15:26
SnowballwindermereROYAL It`s all pretty easy for people to follow restrictions now, just a week in, weather nice but not so warm, but it`s obvious some will get bored with it, and what happens when the warm weather arrives?
It was being muted yesterday this could last for up to 6 months, that takes us back into the winter again, it`s difficult to see the whole population sitting on their hands during a summer heatwave.
Agreed. I was virtually locked down from 6th, officially from 11:00 on the 8th, then, as soon as the 14 days was done we were on the official nationwide lock-down. Prior to that (and being unwell) I would walk up to ten miles a day, or run three and do some gym-work. My flat is the size of a size-six shoebox, no room to exercise properly, and it's really starting to feel oppressive.
I've been eating LOADS more, presumably through boredom, and I was pouring wine down my throat on any pretext. I've been gaining half a pound a day and yesterday I emptied the last two bottles of red down the sink. If this is what it's like after 3+ weeks, I cannot imagine 3 months, let alone six.
I can imagine suicides rising, various sorts of mental illnesses increasing, more domestic violence. And without sunshine will we all get rickets?
Mind you, I'm reading like never before, over a book a day
by Jagermesiter1871 » 30 Mar 2020 17:41
by SCIAG » 30 Mar 2020 19:01
by Jagermesiter1871 » 30 Mar 2020 19:11
SCIAG UK government underestimating cases by 35-160 times: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperi ... 3-2020.pdf
by Snowball » 30 Mar 2020 19:20
SCIAG UK government underestimating cases by 35-160 times: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperi ... 3-2020.pdf
by Snowball » 30 Mar 2020 19:22
by Zip » 30 Mar 2020 19:26
Snowball Did people catch the quiet comment that the Govt is going to publish a weekly number of people dying of Covid-19 OUTSIDE hospitals? It's not clear whether those deaths (Old people's homes etc) are included in the figures.
by Snowball » 30 Mar 2020 19:30
by Snowball » 30 Mar 2020 19:32
ZipSnowball Did people catch the quiet comment that the Govt is going to publish a weekly number of people dying of Covid-19 OUTSIDE hospitals? It's not clear whether those deaths (Old people's homes etc) are included in the figures.
I’ve just been asking about this on AE. It seems deaths are measured against hospital figures only at the moment.
by Jagermesiter1871 » 30 Mar 2020 20:36
Snowball The paper predicts 2.7% of the population has actually been infected (mid of the range)
That is 1,830,420, almost two million people
Current deaths are 1,408 plus about 2,800 due in the next 14 days (4,208) from those already infected
At that rate should the whole of the population become infected that would be 155,852 Dead
At the 60% "herd immunity" percentage that would mean 93,511 dead presuming the NHS doesn't collapse
Am I reading this wrong?
by Snowball » 30 Mar 2020 22:17
by Lower West » 31 Mar 2020 00:21
by Lower West » 31 Mar 2020 00:22
ZipSnowball Did people catch the quiet comment that the Govt is going to publish a weekly number of people dying of Covid-19 OUTSIDE hospitals? It's not clear whether those deaths (Old people's homes etc) are included in the figures.
I’ve just been asking about this on AE. It seems deaths are measured against hospital figures only at the moment.
by Snowball » 31 Mar 2020 08:29
Lower West Peak demand in hospital is forecast in 1-2 weeks.
by LUX » 31 Mar 2020 14:18
Lower WestZipSnowball Did people catch the quiet comment that the Govt is going to publish a weekly number of people dying of Covid-19 OUTSIDE hospitals? It's not clear whether those deaths (Old people's homes etc) are included in the figures.
I’ve just been asking about this on AE. It seems deaths are measured against hospital figures only at the moment.
Same as France.
by Uke » 31 Mar 2020 14:19
LUXLower WestZip
I’ve just been asking about this on AE. It seems deaths are measured against hospital figures only at the moment.
Same as France.
yep.
More die in these homes than in hospital ftl.
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