YorkshireRoyal99Royal_jimmyYorkshireRoyal99
As daft as it sounds, could we "afford" relegation form for the remainder of the season, just based on the start we had?
My point being, after beating Bristol City we were 7th with 25 points after 16 games. I won't use the current 22nd-placed team West Brom because they are the anomaly I think, let's use Blackpool who are 21st and expected to be somewhere near the bottom 3 who currently have 22 points from 20 games. Blackpool's ppg is currently at 1.1. So with 26 games left, based on that ppg, they will achieve another 28.6 points (I will round up to 29) so they will finish the season on 51 points.
In our last 10 fixtures, we've amassed 8 points, a ppg of 0.8 (what I'd consider "relegation form"). We also have 26 games left, so that's another 20.8 points (rounding up to 21 to keep consistent) which would leave us 57 points, comfortably above Blackpool, as well as Wigan and Huddersfield who I anticipate to finish in and around the bottom 3, if not in there.
Obviously, that's just pure numbers and doesn't factor in fixtures, injuries, form, manager changes etc. But at this point, nearly halfway through the season, you'd be thinking that most teams are currently sitting in the positions they are going to finish. West Brom and Middlesbrough will likely climb, but probably won't reach the play offs, us and Birmingham will probably fall, but not into the bottom 3. So the ppg, for most teams at the point (as in total points after the number of games), is probably going to be what you'd expect. For example, a lot of fans believe someone will go down with 50+ points this season and I've just calculated Blackpool (theoretically being the 3rd worst side in the division, thus going down) on 51.
I'd check your maths there. We don't have 36 points. Based on that we'd end up with 47 points and probably relegated, not 57 points
Correct. Ignore that, relegation form we are f*cked!
Either way, still think we will be ok, just need some players to be back fit again. Not sure how good a lot of these teams below us actually are all things said and done, just need a good result at Hull on Saturday.
Still, good analysis thanks, bar the slip-up, YR.
Yeh there are so many factors, as Ian says the final fight of relegation teams. It’s too early to tell. Get some defenders back, get the WC over and it’ll be a different beast I’m sure.
Much as I like Ince for all the reasons I detailed in the appreciation thread I’m just wary now that the same Pauno pattern might be emerging.. Really want them to work their magic again. I want him to stay.