by Wimb » 07 Mar 2012 18:49
by waitingforyears » 07 Mar 2012 19:18
by RobRoyal » 07 Mar 2012 20:44
redscot Can someone with time on their hands work out how much profit one would have had if one bet £10 on every league game up to now for Reading to win. I assume the profit would be large this season. (I would like to know, to see if it is worth while doing next season.)
by Vic_Flange » 07 Mar 2012 21:11
RobRoyalredscot Can someone with time on their hands work out how much profit one would have had if one bet £10 on every league game up to now for Reading to win. I assume the profit would be large this season. (I would like to know, to see if it is worth while doing next season.)
How would one do this without an archive of bookies' odds for every game of the season. Do you think such a thing exists?
by RFCUK » 07 Mar 2012 21:21
by Royal Rother » 07 Mar 2012 21:21
redscot Can someone with time on their hands work out how much profit one would have had if one bet £10 on every league game up to now for Reading to win. I assume the profit would be large this season. (I would like to know, to see if it is worth while doing next season.)
by Ian Royal » 07 Mar 2012 21:24
by redscot » 07 Mar 2012 21:34
by Ian Royal » 07 Mar 2012 21:41
redscot I thought everything was on the net this days so it would not take long to fish out the odds for each game. And then add up. (In Readings case there is a lot of adding up.) I do not bet, maybe others who do keep a track of the odds.
If Reading go up, then of course the bet would be on losing the games. (I seem to remember a 8 game losing streak last time...)
by Vic_Flange » 07 Mar 2012 21:42
Royal Rotherredscot Can someone with time on their hands work out how much profit one would have had if one bet £10 on every league game up to now for Reading to win. I assume the profit would be large this season. (I would like to know, to see if it is worth while doing next season.)
I suspect the only way the profit would be large is if some kind of a staking plan had been used.
*Straight £10 bets wouldn't generate a large profit. *
Depends what you mean by large though.
HTH.
(It doesn't.)
by RFCSPACE » 07 Mar 2012 21:52
by RG30 » 07 Mar 2012 22:15
RobRoyalredscot Can someone with time on their hands work out how much profit one would have had if one bet £10 on every league game up to now for Reading to win. I assume the profit would be large this season. (I would like to know, to see if it is worth while doing next season.)
How would one do this without an archive of bookies' odds for every game of the season. Do you think such a thing exists?
by Skin » 07 Mar 2012 22:21
by The Cube » 07 Mar 2012 23:00
RFCSPACE The law of averages would imply you'd break even over time.
by RG30 » 07 Mar 2012 23:30
The CubeRFCSPACE The law of averages would imply you'd break even over time.
Hardly. Bookmakers work on a percentage profit so you would lose out by that margin over time. Easiest way to see how this works is to look at handicap betting in a two-horse race where the handicap ensures that a draw is not a potential outcome (for example, the Super Bowl with a handicap expressed as plus or minus x.5 points for some whole number x). Then generally both teams are 6/5 on. Unless I'm out of date and it's now 5/4 on.
by taipeiroyal » 08 Mar 2012 04:07
by Wimb » 08 Mar 2012 04:40
by Royal Prince » 08 Mar 2012 06:50
by Wimb » 08 Mar 2012 07:13
Wimb If you want to have a look at how our odds have changed over the season then this is a decent starting point
http://thetilehurstend.co.uk/2011/08/03 ... ew-201112/
To make you really sick...
http://thetilehurstend.co.uk/2011/09/27 ... r-27-2011/
Reading's title odds were 66/1 then, with promotion odds of 12/1