by tidus_mi2 »
26 Sep 2016 11:50
I went looking for predictions for this game and unsurprisingly people are suggesting a home win, Brentford are very strong at home after all. However, this one made me chuckle at how much they got wrong in such a small passage.
Both sides will be pretty content with life right now after bright starts to their respective seasons. They are both in the top half after 9 games and Reading in particular will be delighted with how they’ve adapted to life under Jaap Stam.
The Royals are currently riding high in 4th place and their bold move for the Dutchman in the summer looks to be paying off. They are unbeaten in 8 matches overall now and are chasing a 4th straight win in all competitions here. It’s a bit soon to start talking about Reading as serious promotion contenders though and they have had a few things go their way in recent weeks. Their opponents have had a man sent off in the 1st Half of each of their last two league games, a 2-1 win at Barnsley and 1-0 win over early leaders Huddersfield on Saturday. Their previous two wins came courtesy of goals in the final couple of minutes so they’ve been involved in a lot of tight games but seem to have a knack of coming out on top, which is a good habit to get into.
This will be a real test for the new-look Reading though. Brentford have been very strong at Griffin Park so far this season. They’ve collected 10 points from their 4 home league games, the most recent of which was a crushing 5-0 victory against Preston, 10 days ago. They’ve only conceded 1 goal in those 4 games, scoring 9 themselves and it’s over 6 months since they lost at home in the Championship.
Brentford were beaten 3-1 at Wolves at the weekend but back on home soil, they’ll be hoping to get back on track. It is still very early days in the season and Reading, who finished 17th last year are probably not quite as good as their current 4th place suggests. Given Brentford’s strong home record, odds of 5/4 for Brentford to win this look to offer value.
The last bit I bolded just because it seemed a bit of a snarky opinion.