Sanguine Ooh, a maths question. I like.
There's two things going on with penalties. First, that more are being awarded. Second, that the continual 'refinement' of rules around the penalty kick are making them near impossible to keep out.
So first, number of penalties, 30 so far this season in roughly six rounds of games, which is one every two games.
Broadly there have been on average 90 penalties per season for the last few years, which is less than one every four games.
On success from the spot, 26 of those 30 penalties have been scored, a rate of 87%. Scoring rates in the previous five seasons - 78%, 82%, 70%, 76%, 81%, 76%. 2017-18 a bit of an outlier, so let's say an average success rate of 79%.
So at this stage of the season, after six rounds, you'd expect 14 penalties to have been awarded, and 11 of them scored. So VAR and the rules have 'added' 15 successful penalties.
On to goals. Worth a note that after the international break, goals have settled down with 44 in the 18 games since, more in line with the longer-term average. But that aside, last six seasons in the PL - 2.82 per game, 2.68, 2.80, 2.70, 2.56, 2.76. Average of 2.72 per game. This season, 192 goals in 56 games played so far, 3.43 goals per game.
So against the long-term average, we have seen 40 goals more so far this season than we would have expected, of which 15 may be considered the impact of VAR/rules changes on penalties.
To add to your stats, four games today, four penalties awarded
Think there were 1/2 given on Saturday’s fixtures
Also surprised they didn’t disallow Brighton’s goal tonight, seemed a foul to me