by Clyde1998 »
28 Oct 2023 19:54
28 Oct 2023 19:54
The Smith chance was the one that would've changed the game. That said, even at 2-0, Portsmouth looked relaxed like they knew they'd get back into the game. I didn't think they looked particularly amazing; they just did their job well and were organised. We didn't really look like we'd score once we'd gone 3-2 down.
The table calculator (projector?) I use reckons we've got a 59% chance of relegation now, based on our current xG (both for and against) this season, and we'd be likely to get relegated even without our points deduction. Our xG is comparable to sides like Bristol Rovers, Wycombe and Exeter - the difference is those sides are actually putting points on the board while we're not. Portsmouth have a 61% chance of the title and a 82% chance of automatic promotion.