Coronavirus outbreak

[Snowball]

16th March - - - - 01,543 Cases - - - 0,055 Deaths = 3.56% of Confirmed Cases

28th March - - - - 17,089 Cases - - - 1,019 Deaths = 5.96% of Confirmed Cases


11.1-fold increase in 12 Days - Cases
18.5-fold increase in 12 Days - Deaths

It's clear that the percentage of confirmed cases resulting in deaths is on track to reach the Italian/Spanish levels (10.56% and 7.88% ATM


The WORLD rate is, ATM 15.36%. That figure (Confirmed Cases Only) is the result of dividing Deaths by Case Resolutions.

Case Resolutions is Number of Deaths plus Number of Patients Recovered.

If Un-counted Cases are 10:1 then true World Rate is 1.54%
If Un-counted Cases are 20:1 then true World Rate is 0.77%
If Un-counted Cases are 40:1 then true World Rate is 0.38%
If Un-counted Cases are 50:1 then true World Rate is 0.31%

Seasonal Flu has a death rate of 0.1%

[Royal Rother]

260, Jeez.

I wonder how many went to the Cheltenham Festival or the last round of football matches.

[Zip]

Just briefly re Lux’s post on Abbott as it is moving off topic. She has been vilified in the media and there is a racist element to this. It’s disgusting the way she has been portrayed. However she does come across as deeply patronising and frankly she was hypocritical in regard to the private education of her children. That does not though excuse the way she has been treated which is shameful

[SCIAG]

Call out a black person as being incompetent and the racist card gets (gently) played. It’s pathetic tbh.

Can’t even single out black people without being criticised, complains elderly Windsor man.

[Royal Rother]

[Ascotexgunner]

And then you look across the floor and see Diane Abbott.

Surprises me that Abbott is the one picked out as “stupid” given that she’s by far the most intelligent figure on the British left.

Quick comparison:
Jeremy Corbyn was given every advantage in life and dropped out of his degree in Trade Union studies at North London Polytechnic.

Diane Abbott came from a working class immigrant background but got into grammar school, and then into Cambridge University, where she graduated with a 2:2 in History.

Obviously education is not everything, but the evidence of Abbott’s alleged stupidity seems to be that she once said “thousand” when she meant “million”, while the likes of Corbyn, McDonnell, and Long-Bailey can make gaffe after gaffe without getting the same thrown at them.

Do we need to put you in the same box as Kes and Strap?

She also said Mao had some good ideas......honestly a 2:2 in modern history is disgusting. It means she attended classes virtually and that was it.
What a great parent she is as well...looking at what her son had done she should be nowhere near the political arena.

[Singing Defective]

And then you look across the floor and see Diane Abbott.

Surprises me that Abbott is the one picked out as “stupid” given that she’s by far the most intelligent figure on the British left.

Quick comparison:
Jeremy Corbyn was given every advantage in life and dropped out of his degree in Trade Union studies at North London Polytechnic.

Diane Abbott came from a working class immigrant background but got into grammar school, and then into Cambridge University, where she graduated with a 2:2 in History.

Obviously education is not everything, but the evidence of Abbott’s alleged stupidity seems to be that she once said “thousand” when she meant “million”, while the likes of Corbyn, McDonnell, and Long-Bailey can make gaffe after gaffe without getting the same thrown at them.

Do we need to put you in the same box as Kes and Strap?

She also said Mao had some good ideas......honestly a 2:2 in modern history is disgusting. It means she attended classes virtually and that was it.
What a great parent she is as well...looking at what her son had done she should be nowhere near the political arena.

At least DA would be relatively unlikely to declare emergency powers in perpetuity, unlike some of her comrades. Also Cambridge may be only the second oldest university in the UK, but for a 2:2 you still need to be capable of at least writing your name. Most of the real dross have Pass degrees.

[Jagermesiter1871]

And then you look across the floor and see Diane Abbott.

Surprises me that Abbott is the one picked out as “stupid” given that she’s by far the most intelligent figure on the British left.

Quick comparison:
Jeremy Corbyn was given every advantage in life and dropped out of his degree in Trade Union studies at North London Polytechnic.

Diane Abbott came from a working class immigrant background but got into grammar school, and then into Cambridge University, where she graduated with a 2:2 in History.

Obviously education is not everything, but the evidence of Abbott’s alleged stupidity seems to be that she once said “thousand” when she meant “million”, while the likes of Corbyn, McDonnell, and Long-Bailey can make gaffe after gaffe without getting the same thrown at them.

Do we need to put you in the same box as Kes and Strap?

She also said Mao had some good ideas......honestly a 2:2 in modern history is disgusting. It means she attended classes virtually and that was it.
What a great parent she is as well...looking at what her son had done she should be nowhere near the political arena.

Tbf her son clearly has mental health issues, which again I'm sure can't be easy for her.

Not that I have any idea about political ability and merits.

[SCIAG]

And then you look across the floor and see Diane Abbott.

Surprises me that Abbott is the one picked out as “stupid” given that she’s by far the most intelligent figure on the British left.

Quick comparison:
Jeremy Corbyn was given every advantage in life and dropped out of his degree in Trade Union studies at North London Polytechnic.

Diane Abbott came from a working class immigrant background but got into grammar school, and then into Cambridge University, where she graduated with a 2:2 in History.

Obviously education is not everything, but the evidence of Abbott’s alleged stupidity seems to be that she once said “thousand” when she meant “million”, while the likes of Corbyn, McDonnell, and Long-Bailey can make gaffe after gaffe without getting the same thrown at them.

Do we need to put you in the same box as Kes and Strap?

She also said Mao had some good ideas......honestly a 2:2 in modern history is disgusting. It means she attended classes virtually and that was it.
What a great parent she is as well...looking at what her son had done she should be nowhere near the political arena.

On Mao, it was worse than that - she said "on balance he did more good than harm", which is hilariously wrong. But it's also par for the course with socialists - they'll support anyone who has gone against the US or UK in the last 75 years even if they're not remotely left wing (see Corbyn's praise for Hezbollah).

On Cambridge, lol, maybe a 2:2 from the University of Reading in 2020 involves phoning in a bunch of 50% essays but Cambridge in the 70s was a very different place. Even then, phoning in 50% essays is more than Mr Corbyn managed to do.

As for her parenting, just looked it up. I'm not normally a fan of judging people on their family members. Her son went to private school and got into Cambridge, and then from there onto the Diplomatic Fast Stream which is incredibly competitive. Obviously his education benefited from his wealthy parents. It seems like last year he had a genuine mental health crisis for which he was hospitalised, and around that time he committed several serious criminal offences. When a 27-year-old man has a mental health crisis, I'm not inclined to automatically blame the mother's parenting.

I didn't vote Labour in the last election despite living in a marginal seat with a strong Labour candidate, because I didn't want the far lefties to take my vote as a vote for them. But Abbott is by far the least objectionable of Labour's resident Marxists imo.

[Snowball]

Possible Good News?


The last three days, Worldwide New Cases have flattened

26-March - - - 63,408
27-March - - - 63,489
28-March - - - 68.054


The rise is large at between 60,000 and 70,000 per day, but the exponential growth has not been there for these three days at least.

We may see another surge if India/Africa etc catch fire, but the above looks promising.

[Jagermesiter1871]

Possible Good News?


The last three days, Worldwide New Cases have flattened

26-March - - - 63,408
27-March - - - 63,489
28-March - - - 68.054


The rise is large at between 60,000 and 70,000 per day, but the exponential growth has not been there for these three days at least.

We may see another surge if India/Africa etc catch fire, but the above looks promising.

Countries running out of tests?

[windermereROYAL]

Fact of the matter is this virus isn`t going anywhere, until a vaccine is developed it`s always going to have a chance of flaring up again. uncertainty will be around for at least another year, can we really see full football stadiums again in that time?

[Zip]

Fact of the matter is this virus isn`t going anywhere, until a vaccine is developed it`s always going to have a chance of flaring up again. uncertainty will be around for at least another year, can we really see full football stadiums again in that time?

I think by about August/September I can see stadia being open to fans. The Govt will want to get back to some kind of normality by then. It will lead to another surge in cases though although hopefully at a lower scale to what we are seeing now as more and more will have immunity having already had the virus.

[Jagermesiter1871]

Maybe there will also be some treatment by then which makes it less deadly.

[Uke]

Maybe there will also be some treatment by then which makes it less deadly.

Now the world knows how the gay community felt in the 80s.

Not a great feeling is it?

[Uke]

Fact of the matter is this virus isn`t going anywhere, until a vaccine is developed it`s always going to have a chance of flaring up again. uncertainty will be around for at least another year, can we really see full football stadiums again in that time?

I think by about August/September I can see stadia being open to fans. The Govt will want to get back to some kind of normality by then. It will lead to another surge in cases though although hopefully at a lower scale to what we are seeing now as more and more will have immunity having already had the virus.

If they are there will be social distancing and much reduced capacities.

Two seats apart at least, no family groups, no oldies...

Just the sad pcunts

[Royal Rother]

I’ll be ok watching Windsor.

[Jagermesiter1871]

Maybe there will also be some treatment by then which makes it less deadly.

Now the world knows how the gay community felt in the 80s.

Not a great feeling is it?

Urm no.. Slightly loaded comment.

[Snowball]

Possible Good News?


The last three days, Worldwide New Cases have flattened

26-March - - - 63,408
27-March - - - 63,489
28-March - - - 68.054


The rise is large at between 60,000 and 70,000 per day, but the exponential growth has not been there for these three days at least.

We may see another surge if India/Africa etc catch fire, but the above looks promising.

Countries running out of tests?

No Idea, but

With 1Hr 40 of today left, looks like it's dropped a little

26-March - - - 63,408
27-March - - - 63,489
28-March - - - 68.054
29-March - - - 57,773 (Edit, Midnight)

At this time the previous three nights it was 61,476, 61,626, c66,000. Starting to look like less Confirmed Cases, for whatever reason. Sorry, hardly "less" but the exponential growth has gone (or appears to have gone...)

[Jagermesiter1871]

Possible Good News?


The last three days, Worldwide New Cases have flattened

26-March - - - 63,408
27-March - - - 63,489
28-March - - - 68.054


The rise is large at between 60,000 and 70,000 per day, but the exponential growth has not been there for these three days at least.

We may see another surge if India/Africa etc catch fire, but the above looks promising.

Countries running out of tests?

No Idea, but

With 1Hr 40 of today left, looks like it's dropped a little

26-March - - - 63,408
27-March - - - 63,489
28-March - - - 68.054
29-March - - - 55,473 <<<<

At this time the previous three nights it was 61,476, 61,626, c66,000. Starting to look like less Confirmed Cases, for whatever reason. Sorry, hardly "less" but the exponential growth has gone (or appears to have gone...)

I've stopped even bothering to look at confirmed cases as its such a poor and incomparable stat. Deaths is far more useful and that is still growing massively, although there is of course a lag so hopefully in a few weeks time we might start to see a drop.