Magic Number

[Stranded]

Quick thread to keep track on what needs to happen for us to stay up.

For those not familiar with the magic number, it is the total number of points that need to be won or dropped for us finish above the sides below us. A win for us drops the number by 3, whilst a defeat for any of those below also decreases the number by 3.

So in any round of games, the total may drop by 6 points. Will be one magic number per side and as it, hopefully, drops to zero will drop that side off the list.

Magic Number

Barnsley - 26
Peterboro - 21
Derby - 19

Will update after every round of games.

[Green]

[blythspartan]

Sorry, if I sound dumb but if I use Derby as an example are you saying that they are currently 6 points behind us and they can get 24 more points. Therefore, 24 - 6 = 18, hence one more to finish above is where 19 comes from?

[Stranded]

Sorry, if I sound dumb but if I use Derby as an example are you saying that they are currently 6 points behind us and they can get 24 more points. Therefore, 24 - 6 = 18, hence one more to finish above is where 19 comes from?

Essentially yes, as that takes GD out of the equation.

So if we beat Blackburn tomorrow but they lost to Coventry, then the magic number drops to 13.

[blythspartan]

Sorry, if I sound dumb but if I use Derby as an example are you saying that they are currently 6 points behind us and they can get 24 more points. Therefore, 24 - 6 = 18, hence one more to finish above is where 19 comes from?

Essentially yes, as that takes GD out of the equation.

So if we beat Blackburn tomorrow but they lost to Coventry, then the magic number drops to 13.

Brill, I understand and I like it as it’s a good way of monitoring the position week on week.

[paultheroyal]

oxf*rd that.

Let me make this easy for everyone.

We need four wins, simple as that. Starting tomorrow.

[John Smith]

oxf*rd that.

Let me make this easy for everyone.

We need four wins, simple as that. Starting tomorrow.

Quite possibly the first sensible thing you've ever said on here

[NathStPaul]

oxf*rd that.

Let me make this easy for everyone.

We need four wins, simple as that. Starting tomorrow.

Simple.

[Snowflake Royal]

Quick thread to keep track on what needs to happen for us to stay up.

For those not familiar with the magic number, it is the total number of points that need to be won or dropped for us finish above the sides below us. A win for us drops the number by 3, whilst a defeat for any of those below also decreases the number by 3.

So in any round of games, the total may drop by 6 points. Will be one magic number per side and as it, hopefully, drops to zero will drop that side off the list.

Magic Number

Barnsley - 26
Peterboro - 21
Derby - 19

Will update after every round of games.

Good stuff. Loved the magic number stuff in 2006.

This works great and doesn’t involve any bullshit arbitrary predictions of what is necessary.

[SouthDownsRoyal]

I like it, I feel it’s going to be depressing though as I don’t see where we are getting any points from

[Hendo]

I miss the Rouge-o-meter.

[Snowflake Royal]

I miss the Rouge-o-meter.

I can try a pale imitation if you'd like.

[South Coast Royal]

We could do with Barnsley getting a few thrashings.
At the moment our goal difference is -30 and theirs is -24.

Hopefully not but we could look back on the season and think that this team doesn't deserve to stay up after so many capitulations during the season confirming that generally they have been a spineless bunch.

[Dirk Gently]

We could do with Barnsley getting a few thrashings.
At the moment our goal difference is -30 and theirs is -24.

Or just beat them 3-0 in two weeks' time.

[Stranded]

After today

Barnsley - 20
Peterborough - 18
Derby - 14

Could change tomorrow depending on Peterborough's result.

[SCIAG]

B-e-a-u-tiful.

[Weymouth Royal]

Peterborough are done. That would take a phenomenal change in form and fortune to stay up. Barnsley are our only concern IMO.

[paultheroyal]

The only stat you need…

3 more wins (might be two if we beat Barnsley)

[JR]

The only stat you need…

3 more wins (might be two if we beat Barnsley)

Disagree about this x number of wins - so many variables that it’s too simplistic to say that.

I would say 8 draws and we are very likely to stay up.

[Gunny Fishcake]

We will stay up and finish fourth from bottom